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U.S. Macro Indicator

UMich 1-Year Inflation Expectation

Next release: not yet scheduled

Latest reading: 4.8 % (2026-05-01).

University of Michigan survey median expected price change over the next 12 months. Rising short-term inflation expectations can feed into wage bargaining and spending behavior, and factor into the Fed's read on whether expectations remain anchored.

Recent data

PeriodValue
2026-05-01 4.8 %
2026-04-01 4.7 %
2026-03-01 3.8 %
2026-02-01 3.4 %
2026-01-01 4.0 %
2025-12-01 4.2 %
2025-11-01 4.5 %
2025-10-01 4.6 %
2025-09-01 4.7 %
2025-08-01 4.8 %
2025-07-01 4.5 %
2025-06-01 5.0 %
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